Tesla
Short-term Thesis: The stock rebounded from its June 5 low of $281 and is currently consolidating in the $300–$310 range. $300 is a strong
short-term support level, while $330, the previous gap resistance, may act as resistance.
If it pulls back to $290–$300 (provided there’s no new downside from the Musk-Trump dispute), traders may consider a small position with a
stop-loss at $280.
Target: Reduce holdings near $330; if the relationship eases and Robotaxi performs above expectations, the stock may rise toward $390.
However, if the Trump administration further threatens federal contracts, a quick stop-loss should be implemented, and downside to $210
(the start of this rally) should be kept in mind.
NVIDIA
Short-term Thesis: Benefit from a constructive trade backdrop and surging AI chip demand. The stock has crossed key resistance at $140,
and the 5-Day and 20-Day moving averages are aligned in a bullish configuration.
If a pullback stays above $140, traders may buy with a stop at $138.
Target 1: $150 (historical high), and Target 2: $170 if US-China chip tariff conditions ease further.
Long-term Allocation: Accumulate on weakness below $135. The ongoing demand for computing power should underpin valuations in the
long term.
TSMC
Short-term Thesis: As a US-China trade-sensitive stock, TSMC crossed the $200 barrier. $205 now serves as strong support, while $215 is
the previous high resistance.
If it pulls back but stays above $205, traders may consider buying a small amount with a stop-loss at $200.
Target: Reduce holdings near $220; if a tariff reduction deal materialises, it may move toward $230.
But if negotiations falter, downside to $180–$190 is a risk.
Microsoft
Short-term Thesis: Cloud services are supported by trade talks. The stock broke above $470 resistance; the 5-Day and 20-Day moving
averages are in an upward channel.
If it pulls back but stays above $470, buying can be considered with a stop-loss at $455.
Target 1: $480; Target 2: $500 (historic high).
For long-term holdings, short-term fluctuations can be disregarded.
CoreWeave
Short-term Thesis: Demand for AI computing has driven the stock above resistance at $160; the 5-Day ($160) and 20-Day ($150) moving
averages are steepening upward.
If it pulls back but stays above $160, traders may buy with a stop-loss at $155.
Target: $180 (sector premium), and if policy tailwinds emerge, it could move toward $200.
Centrus Energy
Short-term Thesis: Rising energy policy expectations have kept the stock range-bound near $145. The 5-Day ($148) is acting as resistance;
$140 is strong support.
If it drops toward $140 and holds, buying the dip could be viable with a tight stop-loss at $138.
Target: $155 (sector rotation premium). Fed policy signals should be closely watched for their effects on energy demand.
Robinhood
Short-term Thesis: As a retail platform, Robinhood’s stock moves with market activity. The price has crossed the key $70 barrier; the
5-Day ($72) is now a support. $75 previously acted as resistance in heavy trading.
If it pulls back but stays above $70, traders may buy with a stop-loss at $68.
Target: Sell near $75; if volumes stay strong, it may move toward $80.
This stock correlates strongly with the S&P 500; if the index drops below 6,000, Robinhood may retreat toward $65.
Tempus AI
Short-term Thesis: The stock benefits from policy support for the health care AI sector. It formed a double bottom near $60; the 5-Day and
20-Day moving averages are in a bullish configuration.
$65 is a key short-term support; $72 is resistance. If it pulls back but holds above $62, traders may buy with a stop-loss at $60 (double-
bottom break).
Target: Once $72 is crossed, the next upside could be $80 (sector average premium).
But if FDA approval falls short of expectations, downside toward $50–$55 is a risk.
Amazon
Short-term Thesis: AWS and e-commerce businesses are supported by progress in trade negotiations. The stock broke above resistance
at $210; $210 now forms strong support; $225 is 2024’s high.
Technically, it’s a “bullish flag” pattern with strong volume confirmation.
If it pulls back to $215 and holds, traders may add positions with a stop-loss at $210.
Target: $225 first; if a tariff reduction is finalized, it may advance toward $240.
But if AWS growth disappoints, downside toward $200 is a consideration.
Meta
Short-term Thesis: Benefit from a recovery in the global ad market and innovations in AI-assisted ad delivery. The stock broke above
resistance at $680; its upward channel is well defined.
$700 is a key psychological barrier; its all-time high at $740 is strong resistance.
If it pulls back but stays above $685, buying is viable with a stop-loss at $680 (under the 5-Day average).
Target: $720 if it clears $700; for long-term holdings, short fluctuations can be disregarded.
But regulators’ scrutiny in the EU (such as a tighter data policy) could send the price back toward $640.
Hims & Hers Health
Short-term Thesis: Demand for telemedicine services is stable. The stock is consolidating near $55; $52 is strong support; $60 is a short-
term resistance; volume signals are weak.
If it drops toward $52 and holds, buying is reasonable with a stop-loss at $52 (under 20-Day average).
Target: Sell into $60–$64; this suits low-risk, range-bound trades.
But policy cuts to health care payments could weigh on the stock, sending it back toward $50.
Vistra
Short-term Thesis: The utility's price broke above resistance at $165 and is in a slow uptrend. $170 is now short-term support; buying on a
pullback toward $168–$170 with a stop-loss at $165 is reasonable.
Target: $175 first; for the long term, fluctuations under 10% can be ignored.
This stock is suitable for a buy-and-hold approach, although in the short term it may suffer a drop toward $160 if severe weather cuts power
delivery.
Note: The above are my short-term trading thoughts for these stocks and do not constitute financial advice. Market conditions carry risk;
positions should be sized appropriately.
Intraday Chart Analysis and Tactical Trading Tips
Core Elements of Intraday Charts
An intraday chart displays real-time price movements, capturing the ongoing battle between buyers and sellers. There are three core
elements in an intraday chart: the intraday price line, the average price line, and intraday volume.
Intraday price line: This line connects the last transaction price of each minute, visually reflecting the immediate price fluctuations
throughout the session.
Average price line: This represents the average cost basis of all participants who traded during the day. It serves as a dividing line between
bulls and bears and acts as both support and resistance.
Intraday volume: This shows the trading volume for each minute and indicates the level of market activity.
Interpreting the Relationship Between the Intraday Price Line and the Average Price Line
Let’s break down how these three key elements work together to interpret intraday price action.
The average price line is the dividing line between bullish and bearish strength for the day.
When the intraday price line is above the average price line, it signals that the bulls are stronger than the bears—the further above, the
stronger the bulls.
Conversely, when the intraday price line is below the average price line, the bears are in control—the further below, the stronger the bearish
momentum.
The average price line also provides support or resistance:
In a strong intraday uptrend, prices tend to stay above the average price line, and the line serves as support because bulls defend it.
In a strong intraday downtrend, prices tend to stay below the average price line, and the line acts as resistance, as bears hold the line.
Price-Volume Patterns in Intraday Charts
Smooth Uptrend: When prices break through a key support or resistance level from a relatively low base, and the intraday price line shows at
least two waves of clean, steep gains with rising volume, it often indicates that major players are actively pushing the market higher.
Sudden Spike (Fishing Line Pattern): Unlike a steady uptrend where volume gradually expands, a sudden spike features lightning-fast,
vertical price moves accompanied by a sharp but unsustainable volume surge. The price usually retreats quickly or slowly afterward,
creating a shape that looks like a fishing line. This type of move is unreliable for short-term gains and could signal institutional players either
shaking out weak hands or exiting positions at higher prices—especially at higher price levels.
Price-Volume Divergence: This comes in two forms:
When the intraday price line hits new highs but volume contracts—this shrinking volume on rising prices could be a sign of an impending top.
When prices stop making new lows but volume expands—this expanding volume without further price decline could signal a potential
bottoming process.